Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AIOZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.655433 0.766192 0.887908 1.031310 1.195347 1.376826 1.592501
2024-12-29 0.486745 0.636642 0.818205 1.053008 1.347171 1.701941 2.160464
2025-01-05 0.368285 0.535452 0.757135 1.069308 1.493638 2.045804 2.813300
2025-01-12 0.287683 0.461787 0.712854 1.094887 1.653481 2.430649 3.581309
2025-01-19 0.231389 0.407352 0.681501 1.129084 1.827669 2.858701 4.471600
2025-01-26 0.186908 0.359118 0.647593 1.150232 1.982845 3.278734 5.407786
2025-02-02 0.165436 0.343492 0.661364 1.247367 2.268813 3.931758 6.778533
2025-02-09 0.138437 0.310615 0.638005 1.275841 2.443865 4.429259 7.963524
2025-02-16 0.112148 0.271913 0.595278 1.260282 2.537639 4.800559 8.981482
2025-02-23 0.087154 0.228799 0.534266 1.197520 2.533428 4.998392 9.721050
2025-03-02 0.072396 0.204344 0.505674 1.192463 2.635052 5.393541 10.848289
2025-03-09 0.058663 0.178271 0.467678 1.160046 2.676006 5.678110 11.800432
2025-03-16 0.044891 0.148418 0.415827 1.091179 2.639414 5.825566 12.545252
2025-03-23 0.038114 0.135725 0.402639 1.108992 2.793133 6.373717 14.141952
2025-03-30 0.032282 0.123851 0.388826 1.123044 2.941940 6.932883 15.830368
2025-04-06 0.027800 0.114640 0.379952 1.147938 3.120361 7.577715 17.769935
2025-04-13 0.024307 0.107469 0.375088 1.182497 3.327684 8.310845 19.976694
2025-04-20 0.020978 0.099562 0.366023 1.203861 3.505922 9.000466 22.163410
2025-04-27 0.019947 0.100177 0.383710 1.304627 3.902071 10.233322 25.672966
2025-05-04 0.017477 0.093882 0.377415 1.334011 4.115574 11.062654 28.355280
2025-05-11 0.014569 0.084321 0.357408 1.317653 4.203228 11.600856 30.423200
2025-05-18 0.011452 0.072106 0.324217 1.252216 4.143489 11.770071 31.642519
2025-05-25 0.009694 0.065640 0.310391 1.246897 4.254632 12.379622 33.974074